Lump Sum vs Annuity Calculator
Computes the NPV of your annuity stream and compares to the lump-sum offer, with explicit longevity + survivor + interest-rate parameters.
What the calculator assumes
- Discount rate — your expected real return if you invest the lump sum. Typical: 4-7% for a diversified portfolio post-fees.
- Life expectancy — single point estimate. Reality: bell curve around a median. Healthy couples should assume longer than population median.
- Survivor election — the annuity amount assumes this reduction already. Lower survivor % = higher monthly payment now but less for surviving spouse.
- Static annuity — no inflation adjustment. Most corporate annuities are fixed-dollar. Federal pensions often have COLA — big difference.
Factors the calculator doesn't include
- Longevity uncertainty. If you live to 95 instead of 85, the annuity is substantially better. If you pass at 75, the lump sum is.
- Spouse situation. If your spouse relies on the income, J&S annuity is insurance.
- PBGC coverage. Private pensions are PBGC-insured up to ~$85K/yr at 65. Above that, insolvency risk matters.
- Investment risk. Lump sum exposes you to sequence-of-returns risk early in retirement.
- Estate goals. Annuity dies with you (or spouse); lump sum goes to heirs.
- Cognitive decline. Annuity requires zero management; lump sum requires continuous decisions.
- Current interest rates. Corporate lump-sum offers are calculated against prevailing rates. Low rates = bigger lump sums; high rates = smaller.
Related reading
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